You're probably spending more than you think
Want to skip straight to the numbers? Try our free grocery budget calculator to get your personalized monthly target based on USDA data.
The average American household spends $6,224 a year on groceries, according to the BLS Consumer Expenditure Survey (2024). That's $519 a month. And that number doesn't include the $728 per person per year that the EPA (2025) says you waste on food you buy and never eat.
A grocery budget calculator helps you figure out how much you should spend on food per month based on your household size, income, and eating habits. The USDA publishes four budget levels (Thrifty, Low-Cost, Moderate, and Liberal) that serve as benchmarks, ranging from roughly $300 to $570 per person per month. If your spending falls way outside those ranges, you've got a leak somewhere.
But here's what most grocery budget calculators miss: they tell you what you should spend. They don't help you actually spend less. Knowing your target is step one. Hitting it is the part that requires a plan.
USDA food plan costs: the only benchmark that matters
The USDA publishes monthly food cost reports with four spending tiers. These are the closest thing to an official answer for "how much should I spend on groceries."
Here's what they look like for a single adult (ages 19-50), based on the most recent data:
| Budget Level | Male (monthly) | Female (monthly) | What It Means |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thrifty | ~$300 | ~$270 | Bare minimum. Requires serious planning and cooking from scratch. |
| Low-Cost | $371 | $323 | Tight but manageable. Store brands, seasonal produce, minimal waste. |
| Moderate | $465 | $392 | Average spending. Mix of store brands and name brands. |
| Liberal | $566 | $499 | Comfortable. More convenience foods, wider variety. |
Source: USDA Cost of Food Reports, 2025
For a couple, multiply by roughly 1.8 (there's a 10% economy-of-scale discount for two-person households). For a family of four with two kids, the USDA moderate plan comes to around $1,250-$1,400/month.
These numbers assume you're cooking at home. The moment you add restaurant meals, delivery orders, or meal kits, the USDA benchmarks stop applying.
Important adjustment: The USDA recommends adding 20% if you're a single-person household (you can't buy in bulk as efficiently), and subtracting 5% for households of five or six.
How much should you spend on groceries based on income?
The USDA benchmarks are useful, but they don't account for income. Someone making $40,000 a year and someone making $150,000 a year should not be spending the same on groceries.
The common guideline: spend 10-15% of your take-home pay on groceries. This fits neatly into the 50/30/20 budget rule, where groceries are part of the 50% allocated to needs.
Here's what that looks like at different income levels:
| Take-Home Income | 10% (Lean) | 12.5% (Moderate) | 15% (Comfortable) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $3,000/month | $300 | $375 | $450 |
| $4,000/month | $400 | $500 | $600 |
| $5,000/month | $500 | $625 | $750 |
| $6,000/month | $600 | $750 | $900 |
| $8,000/month | $800 | $1,000 | $1,200 |
If you're spending more than 15% of your take-home pay on groceries alone, something is off. Either you're living in an expensive area (Hawaii residents spend 35% more than the national average, according to Instacart's 2025 cost analysis), or you have budget leaks you haven't identified.
One more thing: this is groceries only. Not restaurants. Not delivery apps. Not coffee shops. If you're counting Uber Eats in your "grocery" budget, you're comparing apples to... whatever shows up in that brown bag 45 minutes late.
Plan tonight's dinner in 30 seconds
AI meal planning that remembers your kitchen and preferences.
Where your grocery budget actually leaks
Knowing your target number is easy. Staying under it is the hard part. Most people overshoot their grocery budget for three reasons, and none of them are about buying organic kale.
1. Food waste. The EPA (2025) found that a family of four throws away $2,913 worth of food per year. That's $243 a month going straight into the trash. You're not overspending at the register. You're overspending in the kitchen.
2. Shopping without a plan. Progressive Grocer's 2025 consumer study found that 32% of shoppers enter the store with no plan at all. Even among the 56% who bring a list, Capital One Shopping reports that impulse purchases account for up to 62% of grocery sales revenue. You walked in for dinner ingredients and walked out with $47 of snacks.
3. The delivery fallback. When you don't have a dinner plan and you're tired, the phone wins. Home cooking costs roughly $4-6 per serving. A delivery order runs $15-25+ after fees and tip. Replace two delivery orders a week with home-cooked meals and you save $1,456 a year.
A grocery budget calculator can tell you that you should spend $500 a month. But if you're wasting $243 of it, impulse buying another $100, and ordering delivery twice a week on top of that, the calculator isn't your problem. The plan is.
How to actually stay within your grocery budget
Budget advice tends to be the same five tips recycled forever: clip coupons, buy store brands, shop the perimeter, don't go hungry. Fine. Those save maybe 10-15%. Here's what actually moves the needle.
Plan meals around what you already have. Most people plan meals first, then buy ingredients. Flip it. Check what's in your fridge and pantry, then figure out what to make with it. This one change reduces waste, eliminates redundant purchases, and means you're buying less every trip. I wrote more about this approach in the pantry-first shopping strategy.
Buy what's on sale, then plan meals around that. If sweet potatoes are $0.79/lb this week, buy sweet potatoes. If tofu is on sale, grab it. Don't commit to recipes before you see what's cheap. Let the prices guide the plan, not the other way around.
Cook enough for leftovers. Planning 21 individual meals per week is insane. Plan 3-4 dinners that each make 2-3 servings. Lunches are last night's dinner. This cuts both your planning time and your ingredient list in half.
Use a shopping list that accounts for your kitchen. A standard grocery list doesn't know you already have rice, half a jar of peanut butter, and three cans of black beans. So you buy more. An AI meal planner like MealThinker tracks what's in your pantry and only adds what's actually missing to the shopping list. No duplicates, no forgotten items going bad in the back of the fridge.
Track your spending for one month. Not forever. Just one month. Write down every grocery trip total. You'll probably be surprised. Most people underestimate their grocery spending by 20-30%.
When a calculator isn't enough: AI grocery planning
A grocery budget calculator gives you a number. A meal plan helps you hit it.
The problem with budgets is that they work backward. You set a target, then try to fit your eating into it. That's like setting a budget for gas without knowing where you're driving.
Meal planning works forward. You decide what you're eating, the shopping list writes itself, and the cost follows. A Plan to Eat survey of 2,568 users found that meal planners reduced their food costs from $199 to $152 per person per month. That's a 24% reduction without clipping a single coupon.
MealThinker takes this further. It looks at what's already in your kitchen, suggests meals that use those ingredients, and generates a shopping list for only what's missing. You're not buying a full recipe's worth of ingredients when you already have half of them at home.
The math works out quickly. MealThinker costs $15/month. If it prevents even $50 of food waste per month (well under the $243/month average for a family of four), it pays for itself three times over. And that's before counting the delivery orders you skip because you actually have a dinner plan.
Try it free for 7 days. No credit card required.
Frequently asked questions
How much should a single person spend on groceries per month?
The USDA moderate-cost food plan puts the benchmark at $465/month for an adult male and $392/month for an adult female (ages 19-50). The national average is roughly $363 per person per month. Add 20% if you're a one-person household, since you can't take advantage of bulk buying as easily. A reasonable target for most single adults is $350-$500/month depending on location and diet.
How much should a family of 4 spend on groceries per month?
Under the USDA moderate-cost plan, a family of four (two adults and two children) should budget roughly $1,250-$1,400/month for groceries. The thrifty plan brings that closer to $900-$1,000/month but requires cooking almost everything from scratch. Actual spending varies widely by location. Families in Hawaii pay about 35% more than the national average.
What percentage of income should go to groceries?
Financial advisors generally recommend spending 10-15% of your take-home pay on groceries. This fits within the 50/30/20 budget rule, where food falls under the 50% needs category alongside housing and utilities. If you're above 15%, look for budget leaks like food waste, impulse purchases, or delivery orders disguised as grocery spending.
What are the USDA food plan levels?
The USDA publishes four food budget tiers: Thrifty (bare minimum, serious planning required), Low-Cost (tight but doable with store brands), Moderate (average spending with some variety), and Liberal (comfortable spending with wider variety and convenience). These benchmarks are updated monthly and adjusted for household size, age, and sex. They only cover food prepared at home.
Does meal planning actually save money on groceries?
Yes. A survey of 2,568 meal planners found they reduced food costs by $47/person/month ($564/year). The savings come from three places: less food waste (the EPA estimates $728/person/year wasted), fewer impulse purchases, and fewer delivery orders. AI meal planners add another layer by building meals around what's already in your kitchen, so you buy even less.